AEMET prevé un invierno con temperaturas superiores a la media.

IMG_20131213_153031La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) ha pronosticado un invierno con una mayor probabilidad de que la temperatura alcance valores superiores a la media del periodo de referencia 1981-2010, en toda España, y de manera más acusada en la mitad oriental Península y Baleares, según la última predicción estacional que hoy se ha presentado a los medios de comunicación por parte de la portavoz de AEMET, Ana Casals.

Para los meses de enero, febrero y marzo de 2015 es muy probable que la precipitación sea superior a la media en la mitad occidental peninsular. En el resto de España no se aprecian diferencias significativas con respecto a la climatología (1981-2010).

UN OTOÑO EXTREMADAMENTE CÁLIDO Y MUY HÚMEDO

Por otro lado, AEMET ha realizado un avance climático del otoño 2014. El trimestre otoñal septiembre-noviembre de 2014 ha sido extremadamente cálido en España, con una temperatura media de 17,7 ºC, valor que supera en 2,3 ºC a la media de esta estación, teniendo en cuenta el periodo de referencia 1971-2000. Se ha tratado del otoño más cálido de la serie histórica iniciada en 1961, con una temperatura media ligeramente superior a la del otoño de 2006, que hasta ahora había sido el más cálido.

A lo largo de este otoño, las heladas han sido muy escasas. Las temperaturas más bajas en estaciones principales han  correspondido al  Puerto de Navacerrada con -3,7 ºC el 10 de noviembre y a Molina de Aragón con -3,6 ºC el 18 de noviembre.

En cuanto a las precipitaciones, hay que señalar que este otoño ha sido en su conjunto muy húmedo, con una precipitación media sobre España de 255 mm, valor que supera en un 36% al valor medio del trimestre. En lo que llevamos de siglo se trata del cuarto otoño más húmedo, por debajo de los años 2003, 2006 y 2011.

AVANCE DEL 2014

A falta de unas semanas para su finalización, AEMET ha presentado un avance climático del año 2014 que destaca por su carácter extremadamente cálido en cuanto a temperaturas y por ser algo más húmedo de lo normal en el conjunto de España.

La temperatura media hasta el 13 de diciembre ha sido de 16,43 ºC, que supera en 1,44 ºC al correspondiente valor medio del periodo de referencia 1971-2000. Hasta el momento, se trata del año más cálido de la serie histórica, igualado con 2006.

En cuanto a la precipitación media en España, hasta el 13 de diciembre, alcanza un valor en torno a los 660 mm., lo que sitúa a este año en torno a un 10% por encima de lo normal para este periodo e iguala ya el valor de la precipitación media para todo el año.

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